Yesterday (Thursday 29 March) I was browsing through eBay and came across an item of interest.
The auction doesn’t end for another 5 days — Wednesday 4th April.
So why would I bid so early? There is only ONE sensible reason to do this for a regular eBay auction listing.
Before I get to the reason, a little eBay buying background. This helps understand the reason, and may even help you guess the answer.
One of the main eBay features is the “fixed” auction format. This of course is what most listings on eBay are comprised of — auctions that start at a particular time and run for 1, 3, 7 or 10 days in duration.
That fixed time length of course is one of the attractions for buyers. Auctions end at an exact second in time, so long as the seller hasn’t ended it early or a buyer hasn’t used a feature like Buy It Now if it is available for that particular listing. Buyers know the end time, many buyers now use little utilities like an atomic clock to keep in exact time, for when they’re bidding in the last few seconds of an auction.
This type of “auction” is different to most in the real world. Take house auctions, for example. The home is open for inspection in the days/weeks leading up to the Auction Day, and then the house goes up for auction. There is NO fixed time for the auction to end, only a time for the auction to start. The realtor/real estate agent will happily accept any bid while the auction goes on. The agent doesn’t say “oh, this auction is ending at 12:35pm and 20 seconds — so bid by then or miss out — they keep accepting bids and will extend the “going going gone” period until all bids are exhausted.
They will, of course, use some psychological techniques, such as “going once, going twice” etc to entice extra bids, by highlighting the auction is about to be closed and there is a chance another bidder will miss out.
Would you bid early at a house auction? Would you turn up 8 days before the auction starts and offer a bid? Well, you might, if you could convince the seller/vendor to sell it to you without going to auction — that is a legitimate strategy. eBay does have this kind of feature anyway — “Buy It Now” — place a high enough bid to convince the seller to take your bid without letting the auction proceed.
But if you were participating in the auction of a house, you wouldn’t bid until the auction started, and many are over within just 10 or 15 minutes.
Bidding days early doesn’t make that much sense on eBay for a fixed time listing. You already know when the auction will end. Bidding early is great for sellers — lots of bids, up goes the price as each bid is made. But if the buyers waited until nearly closing time, they might keep the price down and get a better bargain. What’s the point starting a bidding war with 3 days to go?
When I’m bidding on a fixed price item, I most often only join in the bidding in the last minute. By that stage, I have done three essential things:
- I’ve researched past listings for similar items. I try to get a good idea of the “going rate” for the item I’m interested in. I know what I’m prepared to pay, but research gives me a great idea of what others were prepared to pay. This gives me one of three answers — either my budget is too low (similar items sell for lots more than I am prepared to pay); my budget is okay (I’m somewhere in the range); or my budget is too high (hey, people aren’t paying that much on eBay, so don’t go crazy on bidding, save money!).
- I’ve checked out the sellers feedback. Generally, if there are too many negatives for my liking, I’ll steer clear of the item. BUT, if the negatives are generally from eBay new users (the buyer’s own feedback rating is very low), I’ll tend to treat that feedback with less emphasis, as the buyer doesn’t really know the eBay system yet. I’ll also look for follow-ups to negative feedback, and see if the seller can defend the issue. If I can, I’ll also check what the item was in relation to the negative feedback. I remember once buying a camera tripod, but the seller also sold something like breathalyser testing devices — all their negative feedback related to that device, but not to the tripods they sold! So I was happy to bid on the tripod they were selling.
- I’ll take time to check on the listing in detail, and usually have at least a day to “think about” my need for the item. Often, buyers bid impulsively (great for sellers), and I find waiting until I start bidding a good way to keep calm about bidding, and not get caught up in an item I don’t really need. It’s like the stuff in the supermarket at the cash registers — impulse buying products — you didn’t think you wanted that magazine or chocolate bar for the whole time you were shopping, so why suddenly buy it just before you check out? Waiting helps take away the impulsive temptation.
So, in most cases, it really does make sense to not bid early on an item.
So when is the time to do this? Well, I mentioned the feature above — Buy It Now.
With Buy It Now, the seller lists an item with two prices — an opening bid price for the regular auction, and a Buy It Now price — the actual price they’d be happy to accept to end the auction early. For example, the item might have an opening (starting) bid price of $0.99 (maximum value for the lowest listing fee), and a Buy It Now price of $30.
That means, if I use Buy It Now, I’d be happy to pay $30 now to have the item — no bidding war, no other bids, just my $30 to the seller. Actually, when I know the product, and know the selling history of similar eBay items, I often use this way to buy products that I know will sell for around that much money anyway. It makes eBay more convenient: I don’t have to wait until the end of the auction to see if I’ve won. Of course, that research listed above is very important when using Buy It Now!
Buy It Now is only available on the item until it is either used to make a purchase, or someone makes a bid (hint: this is key to my answer).
Sometimes sellers list an item at an opening (starting) bid of $29 and a Buy It Now price of $30. I guess they’re encouraging you to Buy It Now, as they don’t really want to make you go to auction — they’re not willing to risk low bids and not reach the price they want. On eBay Australia, only a couple of categories offer the “Reserve price” feature — so Reserve pricing doesn’t apply to every eBay listing.
(Also, I’d bid early on a “best offer” listing, although I hardly ever come across these in the categories that interest me – the seller may like my offer and accept it, so getting in early makes sense) .
Anyway, here’s the example of my item. This is what was needed for me to bid early:
- The item has a Buy It Now price AND a starting bid price.
- The starting bid price is much lower than the Buy It Now price
- I’ve done my product and seller research
In this case, there’s a starting bid of $0.99 and a Buy It Now of $49. On doing my research, I’ve found out:
- The seller has listed this same item recently 3 times (advanced search on completed listings for the sellers eBay ID)
- That the same item sold through an auction last week for just $31; and another for $28
- That the seller had a Buy It Now only auction (no regular auction option, just Buy It Now) for $59, and the item got no bids.
Obviously, the seller is testing the chances of Buy It Now at $49, as $59 got no bids. But I’ve found out from the research that the going price for the same item, in just the last couple of weeks, is $28 to $31. So I’m not keen to spend $49 on Buy It Now for this item.
Have you worked it out? Here’s the answer…
So I BID EARLY at $0.99. This turns OFF the Buy It Now feature for other potential buyers. This FORCES the item to be auctioned in a fixed length format, ending next Wednesday. That’s the only reason to bid early: to take away the Buy It Now option for other potential bidders, and force the item to normal eBay auction use a low-price starting bid.
Does it mean I’ll win the item? No, there’s now a risk someone else may out-bid me. But it also means I have a CHANCE of winning the item for much less than the Buy It Now price, and I also ensure I’m in the running, and don’t lose out to someone who’s happy to pay the $49 price (who probably hasn’t done their research!).
This approach won’t work if the seller only accepts pre-approved bidders, as you need time for that process to take place. But that of course makes the potential pool of buyers much smaller, so most sellers don’t do this.
Now in my example, I will just wait until next Wednesday for the last 2 minutes until my next bid, knowing my budget, and taking my chance on being outbid. I “want” the item — but I don’t need it — so I’m happy to risk my chance of winning. I also know — from research — that the seller will probably list this item again soon. So if I miss out this time, I’m sure to have another chance (there’s a big buyer-psychology lesson for sellers in that!).
The only real exception for early bids is if the auction ending time is not a time I’ll be online. For example, it may be at 2am Melbourne time, when I’m in bed. That way — I do my research, and decide on my budget. I’ll then place a bid early — but still as late as possible (last few hours if I can, not a week early!) — and use the maximum bid feature — letting eBay place automatic bids, if needed, up to the maximum I’m prepared to pay. That maximises my chance of winning within my budget, although makes it easier for a last-minute bidder to outbid me (late bid amounts and tactics is a whole other post!).
The exception of course ignores any of the “sniping” programs that might be used to place bids in the closing seconds of the auction.
As a marketer, it still astonishes me to see lots of eBay users — especially new users, get into a bidding war 5 days before the auction ends. Or bidding early when there’s no Buy It Now opportunity. Or even paying well over retail for an item in a buying frenzy, making crazy bids just to be the winner, knowing there is a fixed deadline and wanting to win at all costs. Not to worry though — that eBay buying attitude may not be mine, but it’s a fantastic reason to be an eBay seller!
UPDATE Tues 1:30pm — three eBay users are already in a minor bidding war for this item, yet there’s still 27 hours until the end of the auction. Scary buying habits! And, the seller has already re-listed two copies of this item — so that removes any psychological “urgency” to bid high for this copy — I know there are already more available. NOT necessarily a good selling strategy!
UPDATE Wed 5:20pm — Well, by 5:15pm we had about 10 bids. The auction finish was 5:18:20. I put in a bid with 6 seconds to go — but was one of three snipers to do so! Interestingly (learn this, eBay bidders), the other two snipers had not bid at all on this item, until the last 5 or 6 seconds of the auction. I came second, so I missed out. One bidder was prepared to pay more than me for this product. None of us would have seen the other bids — by the time the page re-loads, you either know if you won or not, and then click on the list of bidders to see what actually happened. Mind you, the seller earned $27 in the last 6 seconds — not a bad rate of return!
So… of the 3 “snipers” only I bid early, and that was to force the auction process and turn off Buy It Now. All of the other intermediate bidders simply forced up the price, bidding way too early, and then not within 3 hours of the close. Silly. The other 2 snipers only came on the scene, like me, with under 6 seconds left to do.
One of the early bidders has already bid on the same product in a similar listing, 4 days early. He was winning until 6 seconds to go. He obviously learnt nothing (other than to probably increase his maximum bid, as it was revealed during the sniping process once our bids exceeded his maximum)… and he also is “fodder” for sniper research — I can see he has bid on the same product, from the same seller, and lost — it tells me how much he bid and how early he bid. As a sniper, my username won’t be in the bid list until it’s too late to know more about me (unless I bid very early, and then most bidders see me as the early low-price bidder that hasn’t participated in the bidding since day 1 of a 10 day auction, so they don’t find out more about me. Also, there’s nothing to say I can’t make that early bid using a — completely legitimate — different eBay username).
UPDATE Mon 5:00pm — As I mentioned in the Tuesday update, the seller had re-listed similar items. I purchased what I wanted in the end for only 1/3 the cost of my bid on the first copy! With the right research, I knew my market even better as each listing ended… it was just a matter of time (and extra money kept in my pocket!).
Definitely lessons for buyers in this post if you read through it carefully!